II. LEADING TRADE PROSPECTS FOR U.S. BUSINESS The Latvian market appears to hold the most potential for American consumer products, computers and office equipment, and capital goods. U.S. products enjoy a particular cachet because they are American; companies frequently attempt to market products and services on the basis of their "American-ness," sometimes even for products that are essentially Latvian. Fed by flight capital from Russia and a booming business community, the market for imported consumer goods, particularly in Riga, is substantially richer than the country's per capita GDP level of $1,550 would suggest. The private sector is expanding very rapidly in Latvia, and there is now one registered private company for every fifty Latvians. There is a high demand for office supplies and equipment, particularly computers, cellular telephones, copiers, and fax machines. During the Soviet years, houses and office buildings were allowed to deteriorate. The commercial boom sweeping Riga and, to a lesser degree, other Latvian cities has contributed to the large-scale rehabilitation of commercial property. Virtually all products associated with building rehabilitation -- paint, doors, windows, locks, plumbing supplies and fixtures, lighting and alarm systems -- are in high demand. Sheetrock, which was unknown during the Soviet period, is beginning to be used. Privatization of apartments is scheduled to begin in 1994 and should contribute further to the demand for construction materials. While latvian heavy industry is on its back due to the shrinkage of orders from russia and other former-soviet countries, there are signs of revival in light industry, particularly textiles and clothing manufacture and in the timber and wood products area. The best prospects for sales of capital goods are in these sectors and in the upgrading of plants producing electricity and supplying district heating. Prospects are also good for the sale of electricity meters. Sales of capital equipment in the agribusiness sector have been hampered by the lack of financing. With loans to agribusiness now possible through the Latvian investment bank and a facility established by the World Bank, a good potential market may be developing for food-packaging and -processing equipment. Water purification equipment for commercial and institutional users is another promising niche market. Frozen foods, unknown during the Soviet era, are coming on the market in Latvia, creating a demand for commercial freezers and display cases. The best opportunities for agricultural products are for items not produced in these latitudes, including cotton, tobacco, rice, and commercial seeds for farms. Latvia imported food grains valued at $3.8 million in 1993; other leading agricultural import categories were fruits, nuts, sugar, coffee, tea, spices. Latvia is also potentially a very good market for consumer-ready, convenience foods, snacks and drinks. In 1993, Latvia imported $6.1 million in beverages. Relatively high tariffs on agricultural products notwithstanding, Latvia will be forced to import meat and livestock due to the recent distress slaughtering of livestock herds. New entrants will have to be aggressive, as suppliers from European countries have established distributor networks for such products as beverages, coffee, cheese, tobacco, and yoghurt. Viewed strategically, Latvia is attractive as a gateway to larger regional markets, including northwestern Russia with a population of 44 million, Belarus (population 10.3 million) and the other two Baltic countries (combined population 5.1 million). In this context, Latvia's capital, Riga, ranks with St. Petersburg and Moscow as one of three regional centers for commerce, finance and transportation.