PART I COMMERCIAL OVERVIEW Introduction The United States and Ireland enjoy very good political, economic and commercial relations and a close cultural affinity. The commercial environment in Ireland is conducive for U.S. companies interested in trade and investment. U.S. firms should not be put off by the small size of the Irish market. Rather they should look upon Ireland as a gateway to the larger European market. Many U.S. firms already use Ireland and its many advantages and incentives to assess and penetrate the lucrative European market. U.S. firms should explore the possibility of locating an Irish agent/distributor who possesses knowledge of EC regulations and European distribution networks in order to introduce their products and services. U.S. firms developing an international marketing strategy which involves joint ventures, direct investment, licensing, or franchising should evaluate the suitability of establishing a base of operations in Ireland. All U.S. firms interested in exporting to, and/or establishing operations in, Ireland are urged to contact the relevant section at the U.S. Embassy in Dublin for counseling and advice on doing business in Ireland. Overview of the Import Market Ireland is a small open economy heavily dependent on international trade. The ratio of imports plus exports to GNP of 109 percent highlights the importance of international trade to Ireland and the receptive climate for U.S. imports. The United States is the second largest exporter to Ireland, after the United Kingdom. The introduction of products into the Irish market is uncomplicated as standard international marketing and distribution practices are widely utilized. Motivated U.S. firms with quality products will encounter positive assistance from their local representative in achieving their goals and objectives for the Irish market. Commercial Environment The United States and Ireland enjoy very good political, economic and commercial relations and a close cultural affinity. The commercial environment in Ireland is conducive for U.S. companies interested in trade and investment. U.S. firms are the largest source of investment in Ireland. The United States is Ireland's second most important trading partner after the U.K. Ireland also has close ties with Europe and since 1973 has been a full and active member of the European Union. Ireland's close links with the United States as well as Europe, plus the inducements available to invest in Ireland, offer many opportunities for U.S. firms to use Ireland as a gateway to assess and penetrate the lucrative European market. Ireland's economy continues to grow despite economic slowdowns in some of its major trading partners. Growth is heavily dependent on strong external trade performance. As a small open economy which is heavily dependent on international trade and investment, government policies are generally formulated to facilitate trade and inward direct investment. Since 1987, there has been general cooperation between the major political parties, labor unions and employers (the social partners) in the government's fiscal austerity program. A third three-year national economic pact, Program for Competitiveness and Work (PCW), was signed in early 1994 continued this general cooperation. Unemployment, currently at about 15 percent, remains a serious problem for the Irish economy. Reducing unemployment, which is expected to remain high for the rest of the decade, is a major priority for the government. The coalition government, formed in February 1993, is functioning fairly effectively on economic issues, despite predictable tensions between the two partners, the Labour party, headed by the Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Affairs Minister, Dick Spring, and the larger Fianna Fail party of Prime Minister Albert Reynolds. As with previous administrations, this government has been preoccupied with a series of controversies and crises. Added to these is the Government's handling of unemployment and economic matters. Commitment to greater European economic integration, tax reform and stronger market orientation continue to be key factors in government policy. The government continues to have a heavy political agenda encompassing developments in the EC and European monetary matters, the Northern Ireland peace process, the restructuring of Aer Lingus, resolution of the TEAM Aer Lingus dispute, and the unemployment crisis. Ireland has a market economy based primarily on private ownership. Government ownership and control occurs in a few sectors. In recent years, the government has reduced its holdings in a number of companies. However, the Fianna Fail/Labour coalition has indicated that it would not agree to further privatizations at this time. Telecom Eireann, the public telephone utility, is currently evaluating the opportunities for entering a strategic alliance with an international telecommunications firm. A member of the EU since 1973, Ireland is active in efforts to create a single European market and to establish an economic and monetary union. Significant progress has been made on reducing trade barriers within the EU and on harmonizing indirect taxes. Ireland is supportive of further EU integration, but has consistently pointed out the special needs and problems which integration presents for peripheral and less developed regions. Ireland benefits considerably from EU policies in agriculture and regional development. In 1993, transfers to Ireland from the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) were equivalent to almost 4 percent of GNP. Consequently, the Irish Government is opposed to many of the proposals for reform of the CAP. Under the EU's regional development programs, Ireland will receive about IP 6 billion in "structural funds" during the period 1994- 1999. These funds are being used primarily for infrastructure projects, including roads, port and airport facilities, and the environment, as well as for education, training, and employment programs, indigenous energy development, and energy diversification. Ireland faces the challenges arising from the Treaty on Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), the Maastricht Treaty. The government is committed to Ireland being among the initial group of countries to proceed to full EMU. The treaty sets up a number of criteria which member states must satisfy in order to proceed to EMU. These criteria relate to inflation, interest rates, exchange-rate stability, government borrowing and debt-to-GNP ratio. Government economic policies are attempting to address the two major structural problems of the economy -- excessive debt and high unemployment. The current level of government debt exceeds 100 percent of GNP (EMU criteria is 60 percent.), while the demographic pressure on the labor force would require the creation of 20,000 to 25,000 jobs annually to stop unemployment rising in the absence of emigration. This level of job creation is highly unlikely in th near to medium term as it would require a GNP growth rate of 6-8 percent over many years. The generous social security net results in a degree of social and political stability, in spite of over 15 percent unemployment, but adds to the budget deficit and debt. Ireland has a small open economy which is very dependent on trade. Exports increased by about 4 percent in 1993 giving Ireland a record trade surplus of almost IP 4 billion. Consumer spending was slack during 1993 increasing by 1.75 percent. The residual effects of the late 1992 currency crisis contributed to continued caution among consumers early in the year. However, the general economic climate improved as the year progressed. Investment spending was flat in 1993, following a one percent decline in 1992. Inflation averaged 1.5 percent (a historic low) for the year. There will be pressures on the new coalition government, especially the Labour party partner, to engage in more liberal spending and less fiscal and economic constraints. To date, the government has been able to hold the line. However, recent disputes involving Aer Lingus and other industrial action may mean there are some rough times ahead. The late 1992 foreign exchange difficulties within the ERM leading to the devaluation of the Punt also has had an influence on the current economic situation. In recent years the government has made significant progress in improving its fiscal position through constraints on spending, improved revenue collections and a growing economy. The projected budget deficit for 1994 is 2.7 percent of GNP (within the EMU range), compared to a deficit of over 13 percent in 1986. Likewise, Ireland's public debt as a percentage of GNP has been reduced from nearly 150 percent in 1987, to about 102 percent at the end of 1993. Ireland's external debt in 1993 was $16.6 billion, or 40 percent of GNP. Interest rates have remained at historically low levels since mid-1993. Irish interest rates are very sensitive to changes on international markets, due largely to the necessity of maintaining the value of the Irish currency in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS). The main focus of Irish monetary policy is to keep inflation as low as possible through maintaining a strong and stable currency in the ERM. While the German Mark is the primary link for the Irish currency, the government also endeavors to maintain a stable exchange rate with the U.K., Ireland's largest trading partner. Low inflation is central to the government's policy for promoting competitiveness, and thereby, employment growth. The Irish economy is expected to show added strength in 1994, with the Central Bank forecasting real GNP growth of 4 percent. Export volume growth is likely to accelerate to about 5.75 percent. Inflation is expected to remain low at the 2.75 percent level. Ireland's positive trade balance should remain relatively stable in 1994. The Irish Government welcomes inward international investment and offers a number of investment incentives to international companies. One notable incentive is an attractive 10 percent corporate tax rate for qualifying industries guaranteed through the year 2010. Other incentives include capital investment, R & D, and training grants; rent subsidy for industries in certain regions; and assistance in site location. Investment is predicted to increase by about 5 percent in 1994. Ireland, with its need to import and its position in the EC, offers substantial opportunities for the export of U.S. goods and services and forms an excellent base from which to assess and penetrate the important European market. The Irish government, through the IDA Ireland actively seeks U.S. firms to invest and develop the economy. Some 400 U.S. firms have responded creating over 47,000 jobs. According to U.S. Department of Commerce statistics, the annual return on U.S. investment in Ireland in 1992 was 25.8 percent -- the highest in Europe. Tax incentives, grants, location within the EC trading area, and a large well-educated labor pool are the main attractions of Ireland for U.S. investors. In addition to green-field investment, IDA Ireland is involved in joint ventures and licensing arrangements between U.S. and Irish firms. The activities of U.S. subsidiaries, plus the American orientation of the Irish, result in the United States having a positive balance of trade with Ireland. At the same time, exports of U.S. firms in Ireland contribute significantly to Ireland's overall trade surplus. The 400 American companies with subsidiaries in Ireland span a complete range of activities from manufacturing of high-tech electronics, computer devices, medical supplies, and pharmaceuticals to retailing and services. Several hundreds of U.S. firms are represented by agents and distributors, or have direct sales. U.S. investment in Ireland is expected to continue. However, new U.S. tax legislation may curtail investment in Ireland by certain U.S. firms. The large number of U.S. companies with operations in Ireland and the small, but growing, number of Irish companies with U.S. investments ensure growth in bilateral trade. In 1993, U.S. exports to Ireland increased by about 16 percent to $3.3 billion, while Irish exports to the U.S. grew by 29 percent to $2.6 billion. The United States has traditionally had a trade surplus with Ireland, due primarily to the purchases of U.S.-origin raw materials and intermediate goods by U.S. subsidiaries in Ireland and substantial trade in agricultural products. In 1993, the United States trade surplus was about $0.7 billion. Given both the general favorable outlook for the Irish economy and the number of U.S. subsidiaries in Ireland, U.S. exports should continue to grow in 1994, providing excellent marketing opportunities for American suppliers and manufacturers. Irish Business Attitude to the U.S. With some 45 million Americans claiming some sort of Irish descent, there is a close cultural/social relationship. As well as a common cultural heritage and similarities in areas such as legal system and business practices, the English language bonds the United States and Ireland and makes for ease in doing business. Through high levels of immigrants, business and tourist visitors, there is familiarity with U.S. products and services. Many CEO's of U.S. companies and important political leaders are Irish-Americans. All of this results in a cultural affinity which adds to the close political, economic and commercial relations enjoyed between the U.S. and Ireland. Major Business Opportunities The positive economic growth forecasts for the Irish economy offer substantial opportunities to motivated U.S. exporters. The opening up of the Irish telecommunications market where Telecom Eireann is seeking to enter a strategic alliance with an international telecommunications company, and the Irish Governments intends to grant a license to operate a second cellular network offers opportunities for U.S. telecommunications companies. The infrastructural and environmental projects contained in the Ireland National Development Plan, 1994-1999 also offer opportunities to U.S. firms. USFCS-Dublin will report on emerging opportunities in this area as part of its alert reporting program. Best Prospect sectors for Ireland, that is industry and agricultural sectors where U.S. exporters can enter the market or increase their market share over the next couple of years, include Electronic Components, Computers and Peripherals, Travel and Tourism Services, Drugs and Pharmaceuticals, Computer Software, Industrial Chemicals, Electrical Power Systems, Medical Equipment, Telecommunications Equipment, Building Products, Construction Equipment, Household Consumer Goods, Air Conditioning & Refrigeration Equipment, Pumps, Valves and Compressors, Industrial Process Controls, Corn Gluten Feed, Pears, and Wine. However, market opportunity is not limited to these sectors. There are many other areas which present opportunities for U.S. business, e.g., a good laboratory instruments industry, an emerging biotechnology industry. Major Roadblocks to Doing Business Ireland maintains a limited number of barriers to U.S. services trade. While international airlines serving Ireland may provide their own ground handling services, they are prohibited from providing ground handling services to other airlines. The Irish banking and insurance sectors are slowly becoming deregulated. Full deregulation in insurance will not occur until 1998. An immediate opportunity for U.S. companies exists in the Dublin International Financial Services Center (IFSC). This center offers interested U.S. companies the opportunity to establish an EU financial base. The IFSC is attracting international financial services such as asset financing, captive insurance, fund and investment management, and corporate treasury measurement. Qualified financial services companies have a maximum tax of 10 percent through the year 2005, provided a license is granted before the end of 1994. Exchange controls on foreign travel by Irish citizens have been eliminated. Although they have been liberalized in recent years, Ireland still maintains some of the strictest animal and plant health import restrictions in the EU. These, together with EU import duties, effectively exclude many meat based foods, fresh vegetables and other agricultural products. The EU directive on broadcasting activities was adopted on October 3, 1989. The primary purpose of the directive is to promote the free flow of broadcasting services across national boundaries. Separately, the Council of Europe agreed to a convention on transfrontier broadcasting which is largely the same as the EU directive. The main components of the directive are (a) general provisions which require member states to ensure freedom of reception of broadcasts from other member states; (b) provisions for the promotion of distribution and production of television programs; (c) provisions for advertising, sponsorship, the protection of minors, and right of reply. Many of the provisions of the directive have been transposed into law under the Broadcasting Act, 1990. Two sets of statutory regulations were used to transpose the remaining provisions, as follows. (1) The EC Communities (Television Broadcasting) Regulations, 1991 Directive requires broadcasters to reserve a majority of broadcast time for productions of EC origin and to reserve at least 10 percent of transmission time or budget for independently produced European programs. (2) The Wireless Telegraphy (Television Program Retransmission and Relay) Regulations 1991 amends the regulations under which cable and multichannel microwave distribution systems (MMDS) licenses are issued. In short, MMDS operators will no longer require approval in advance of relaying a service. Nature of Local and Third Country Competition Given Ireland's involvement in international trade, there is strong local and third country competition for U.S. exporters. Irish firms have a strong and increasing expertise in international business and the Irish government is encouraging more indigenous firms to compete in export markets. At the same time, the GOI actively encourages international investment in Ireland. Thus, there is a strong and healthy mixture of local, U.S., and third country competition in the Irish marketplace.