IV. POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT NATURE OF BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP WITH THE UNITED STATES President Hosni Mubarak has supported a strong US-Egyptian relationship based on shared interests in promoting regional peace and stability, revitalizing the Egyptian economy, and strengthening trade ties. Over the years, Egypt and the U.S. have worked closely to help further the Middle East peace process. In 1993-94, Egypt hosted many of the negotiating rounds for the Gaza- Jericho autonomy agreement which was signed in Cairo in May 1994 by Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and PLO leader Yasir Arafat. U.S. economic and military assistance is an important pillar in the bilateral relationship. In FY 1994, Egypt received $1.3 billion in U.S. military assistance which has allowed it to modernize its deteriorating Soviet-supplied weaponry and improve its ability to support regional stability. The U.S. also extended $815 million in economic development. MAJOR POLITICAL ISSUES AFFECTING BUSINESS CLIMATE Terrorism: Since 1992, small clandestine groups of armed Islamic extremists have increased their attacks on the Egyptian government by attacking government officials, security forces, foreign tourists, and Egyptian Coptic Christians. Although the terrorist attacks have hurt Egypt's tourist industry, they are not a substantial threat to the government or its ability to make overall progress. Political Reform: The Egyptian political system has undergone significant liberalization since the Nasser era of a few generations ago. Today, citizens enjoy wide latitude in freedom of expression and the judiciary has demonstrated its independence from the executive branch. Further progress on political reform has taken a back seat to meeting the challenge posed by terrorist groups. The government's anti-terrorism tactics have raised serious questions about such human rights abuses as torture, arbitrary arrest, prolonged detention without trial and the use of military courts to try persons accused of terrorism. Moreover, the governing National Democratic Party (NDP) dominates the political scene to such an extent that, as a practical matter, people do not have a meaningful ability to change their government. In 1994, the People's Assembly approved a three-year extension of the Emergency Law and Egypt has been under an official state of emergency continuously since 1981. Recognizing the need for political reform, President Mubarak has authorized the NDP to engage opposition parties and independents in a "national dialogue" to chart the country's priorities. BRIEF SYNOPSIS OF POLITICAL SYSTEM, SCHEDULE OF ELECTIONS, AND ORIENTATION OF MAJOR POLITICAL PARTIES The Egyptian Constitution provides for a strong president who is empowered to appoint one or more vice presidents, the prime minister, the cabinet, and the governors of Egypt's 26 provinces. In 1993, President Hosni Mubarak was endorsed in a national referendum, in which he ran unopposed, to serve a third six-year term as President by the People's Assembly. The People's Assembly has 454 members - 444 popularly elected and 10 appointed by the President. The constitution reserves 50% of the Assembly seats for workers and farmers. Assembly members sit for five-year terms. The next national election for the Assembly is scheduled for November 1995. There is also a 210-member Shura (Consultative) Council which has an advisory role on public policy but little legislative power. The NDP has been in power since its establishment in 1978 and commands large majorities in the Assembly and the Shura Council and effectively controls the local governments, mass media, organized labor, and the large public sector. The NDP is an umbrella political party containing within its ranks members who favor greater economic and political reform as well as those who advocate continued government ownership of the public sector and an active government role in "regulating" the economy. There are 12 recognized opposition parties, but only one -- the leftist Tagammu Party -- is represented in the People's Assembly. All other parties boycotted the 1990 People's Assembly election because of allegations of unfair election procedures. Some of the other opposition parties include the new Wafd party (centrist), the Islamist-oriented Socialist Labor party, and the Nasserist Party (leftist).