APPENDIX B BEST PROSPECTS Mining Sector Diamonds are the mainstay of Botswana's economy and account for over 80 percent of the total value of exports. The Debswana Diamond Company, which ranks among the major mining companies of the world, has embarked on a USD 160 million expansion project at the Jwaneng Mine to increase production. Commissioning of the extended plant is scheduled to begin by early 1995. Debswana is also carrying out a feasibility study on the viability of doubling capacity at the Orapa Mine. It is estimated that about 30 earth-moving machines, particularly 170-ton trucks, will be purchased over the next five years to support the expansion plans and replace existing equipment. In addition, approximately 36 pieces of ancillary equipment, including graders and loaders, will be purchased. Sales prospects of total equipment is estimated at USD 50 million. As there is no local production, all equipment have to be imported. U.S. equipment brands such as the Caterpillar and Euclid, compete successfully in the market through locally registered agents and distributors. Third country competitors for mining equipment include Japan, Canada, Russia and South Africa. Construction Sector The Government of Botswana is proposing to undertake the construction of one of the world's largest current hydrological projects, known as the North-South Carrier Water Project. The project consists of a dam in North East Botswana and a 360 kilometer transfer pipeline to Gaborone in South East Botswana, estimated to cost over USD 330 million by the time it is completed in 1997. The project provides significant business opportunities for U.S. firms interested in bidding for (a) engineering consultancy services; (b) construction supervision; and (c) supply of pipelines. Some U.S. firms have already indicated interest in the project. (In the past, U.S. firms have won tenders for the supply of pipe. U.S. firms have also been short- listed for engineering consultancy services.) Bids will be accepted on the following pipe materials: glass reinforced plastic (grp); ductile iron; pre-stressed concrete and steel. Toughest competitors against U.S. firms for provision of pipe to the North-South Carrier Water Project will come from South Africa (steel pipe) and France (ductile iron pipe). Actual construction of the dam and pipeline will probably be done by South African or European firms, in partnership with U.S. or European suppliers. Invitation for pre-qualification has already been issued by the Government. Computer Sector The market size for this sector is roughly valued at USD 25 million for imports of computer hardware and peripherals and for maintenance, consultancy and system service. The potential for demand-creation of computer products is phenomenal, particularly in the government sector which absorbs almost 80 percent of the end-user market. Local production of computers is virtually non-existent in Botswana with the exception of a small- scale assembly plant. So far, American computer brands such as IBM, Hewlett Packard, Digital, Apple and Compaq, have successfully penetrated the market and account for about half the total market share. Foreign competitors which also compete highly for the market are: Acer (Taiwan); AST (U.K.); Siemens (Germany) and ICL (Japan). Computer firms in Botswana (80 in all) are mainly vendors and the supply of computer products ranging from PC's, mid-range systems, main-frames and peripherals to consumers are adequate. However, computer education has not been contemplated by most companies and remains lacking. The provision of educational software coupled with support services and consultancy have been identified as areas offering business opportunities for U.S. firms. Furthermore, the Government has developed a project to supply about USD 25 million worth of PC's for the next fiscal year. This creates further opportunities for U.S. firms in the area of consultancy and support services for these computers. Motor Industry Botswana imports over USD 200 million of vehicles and transport equipment each year, almost all of which come from South Africa. However, a prominent authorized Ford dealer in Botswana has shown interest in procuring Ford trucks directly from the U.S. to competitively bid on an upcoming tender. The Government is scheduled to release a tender in November, 1994, for about 250 Ford trucks mainly in the F-150, F-250, F-350 and F-700 series and has requested information on availability of these models. The crucial factor is the capability of U.S. dealers to convert these trucks to right-hand drive trucks. (Traffic moves on the left in Southern Africa.) The local dealer has requested that the U.S. firm be willing to deal directly with them considering that the Government tender would be for a substantial number of trucks. This is a unique export opportunity for U.S. firms.